Wednesday, February 28, 2024

Duke vs. Virginia prediction, odds, time: 2023 ACC Tournament final picks, best bets by proven model

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The 2023 ACC Tournament championship game features the No. 4 seed Duke Blue Devils (25-8) and the No. 2 seed Virginia Cavaliers (25-6) meeting up on Saturday night. The Blue Devils are rolling right now and have won eight straight games. In the semifinal, Duke beat Miami (Fla.) 85-78. Virginia, meanwhile, is on a four-game win streak. On Friday, the Cavaliers topped Clemson 76-56.

Tipoff in Greensboro, N.C., is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. The latest Duke vs. Virginia odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Blue Devils as 2.5-point favorites, while the over/under for total points is set at 123.5. Before locking in any Virginia vs. Duke picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now the model has zeroed in on Duke vs. UVA and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for UVA vs. Duke:

  • Duke vs. Virginia spread: Duke -2.5
  • Duke vs. Virginia over/under: 123.5 points
  • Duke vs. Virginia money line: Duke -150, Virginia +130
  • DUKE: Has covered in three straight 
  • UVA: 4-1 ATS against teams that give up more than 67 points per game 
  • Duke vs. Virginia picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils

Why Duke can cover

Freshman forward Kyle Filipowski is a versatile and athletic difference-maker in the frontcourt. Filipowski has the jumper to be an asset on the perimeter while having the mobility to be active in the lane. The New York native is fifth in the ACC in rebounds (8.9) with 15.3 points per game. He’s recorded 15 double-doubles on the season. On March 4 against North Carolina, Filipowski had 22 points and 13 rebounds.

Junior guard Jeremy Roach is a quick playmaker who excels at making plays consistently. Roach scores well from the mid-range and scans the floor quickly. The Virginia native averages 13 points and 3.2 assists per contest. On Feb. 25, he finished with 19 points and 11 assists against Virginia Tech. 

Why Virginia can cover

Senior forward Armaan Franklin is a two-way force. Franklin owns a smooth mid-range jumper with outstanding awareness defensively. The Indiana native averages a team-high 12.7 points with 4.1 rebounds per contest. He’s supplied at least 14 points in four of his last five games. On Friday against Clemson, Franklin had 16 points and two assists.

Senior forward Jayden Gardner is a strong and physical scorer who can take defenders off the dribble. Gardner likes to play downhill to get his points and pile up his rebounds. The North Carolina native averages 12.3 points and 5.8 rebounds per game. Gardner has finished with a double-double in back-to-back games, including 23 points and 12 rebounds on Friday.

How to make Virginia vs. Duke picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 134 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only see the model’s picks at SportsLine

So who wins Duke vs. Virginia? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.  

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